Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.497173 0.566033 0.639770 0.724462 0.818904 0.920834 1.039021
2025-08-17 0.383761 0.477156 0.584906 0.717815 0.876716 1.059928 1.286452
2025-08-24 0.304886 0.411748 0.543865 0.717784 0.939090 1.209530 1.563037
2025-08-31 0.242458 0.354319 0.501957 0.708414 0.986528 1.344646 1.836468
2025-09-07 0.201914 0.317544 0.479624 0.719047 1.058420 1.516048 2.172157
2025-09-14 0.164795 0.278356 0.447041 0.709540 1.099808 1.649011 2.468038
2025-09-21 0.139921 0.252600 0.429174 0.717293 1.164429 1.817986 2.827012
2025-09-28 0.115767 0.223289 0.400906 0.704414 1.195269 1.939102 3.125665
2025-10-05 0.103918 0.212438 0.400134 0.733868 1.292918 2.166304 3.598198
2025-10-12 0.093680 0.202482 0.399063 0.761907 1.389949 2.399124 4.095704
2025-10-19 0.081864 0.187288 0.386368 0.767841 1.449931 2.576740 4.518164
2025-10-26 0.071248 0.172412 0.371897 0.768280 1.499513 2.739850 4.927182
2025-11-02 0.061508 0.157695 0.355931 0.764556 1.542326 2.896709 5.340697
2025-11-09 0.053548 0.145295 0.342684 0.764209 1.590863 3.066666 5.788077
2025-11-16 0.047129 0.135127 0.332467 0.768371 1.647771 3.254970 6.279370
2025-11-23 0.040730 0.123631 0.317609 0.761039 1.681495 3.403623 6.710306
2025-11-30 0.036644 0.117133 0.312813 0.774041 1.755915 3.631233 7.296183
2025-12-07 0.031716 0.107265 0.298689 0.764937 1.784517 3.774774 7.737263
2025-12-14 0.028462 0.101340 0.293035 0.773886 1.850838 3.994039 8.331395
2025-12-21 0.024517 0.092415 0.278508 0.760524 1.868378 4.119324 8.755233
2025-12-28 0.023093 0.090956 0.282896 0.792303 1.986163 4.449897 9.590850
2026-01-04 0.021702 0.089293 0.286487 0.822475 2.102740 4.785002 10.453200
2026-01-11 0.019538 0.084501 0.280813 0.828934 2.166333 5.015847 11.122636